Week 12 betting slate: HOUvsMIA

Coming out of their bye week Miami is set at 14 point favorite over Houston. The Texans quarterback Kyle Allen will be making his first start of the year as Davis Mills has been benched.

With the expectation to dominate Houston and following that up with a two game road trip to the west coast, let’s hope the Dolphins are not looking ahead to their week 13 match up against San Francisco.

I don’t think that will be the case, Miami should win this game fairly easily, but by 14 points?

Jeff Wilson over 14.5 receiver yards — -115

Raheem Mostert is slated as doubtful with a knee surgery. That means Jeff Wilson is slated to be even more of a lead back. In his first two games since joining Miami Wilson has 21 and 24 yards receiving. He should clear this fairly easily.

Kyle Allen over 19.5 completions — -114

Kyle Allen has not started a game since 2020 so might sound like a bit of a stretch. My thinking is Miami will be up by enough points throughout the game that the Texans will be forced to throw more frequently. If you have watched any of the Dolphins games this year they allow teams a lot of underneath throws. Miami defense ranks 25th giving up 23.7 completions per game. Davis Mills has over 19.5 completions in 5 out of 11 games, with two games completion exactly 19 passes.

Trent Sherfield - longest reception over 15.5 yards — -115

Sherfield has been a pleasant surprise to Dolphins fans. Since week 3 Sherfield has played about 60% of the offensive snaps for Miami. In 3 of the last 4 games Sherfield has recorded a catch of at least 18 yards. The one game it was under his longest catch was 14 yards.